pretickt

Is MPC a good stock to buy?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation · end-of-day data as of Nov 13, 2026

Marathon Petroleum
MPC · $113B
$414.65+0.4%
Nov 13, 2026 · close
$350$400$450SepOctNov9:3016:003 months +13.5%Nov 13 · close
▲ 5
  • ConsensusBuy · 20
  • P/E vs own-27.3%
  • P/E vs sector-47.8%
  • FCF yield+18.5%
  • Sector▲ -1.9%
Neutral
  • Earnings in81d
  • P/E8.1x
  • RSI48
  • Support-11.0%
  • Off 52w high-16.1%
  • Volume0.9x
  • Bollingerlower half
  • News1.00
  • PT$416.21 +0.4%
  • Trendsideways
  • 52w range$162–$494
  • ATR+4.6%
  • Off ATH-16.1%
  • MAs2 of 4
  • MA20×50↓ in ~2d
▼ 2
  • Insiders-$2.53M
  • MACD-3.28

Updates with the 15-min delayed price. Not a forecast or investment advice.

Is Marathon Petroleum a good stock to buy?

Marathon Petroleum is strong on 1 of the 5 questions about the business; weak on demand. The price is low: 8.1 times its earnings, below its 3-year median of 12.5 (Nov 13, 2026). pretickt does not say whether to buy or sell.

  1. Demand shrinking
  2. Advantage some edge
  3. Economics profitable
  4. Execution mixed
  5. Fragility sturdy
  6. Price below its usual
DemandDo people want more of what it sells?shrinking

MPC sales growth revenue growth

-9%a year, for the last 3 years

Marathon Petroleum's sales fell 9% a year for 3 years, to $133B in fiscal 2025.

MPC peers

pretickt analysis+31%its sales in 12 months, on a year before

Marathon Petroleum's sales grew 31% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, faster than EOG Resources (+29%), Phillips 66 (+29%), Valero (+19%) and Williams (+9%).

MPC sales by business revenue by segment

94%of its sales from Refining And Marketing

Refining And Marketing brought Marathon Petroleum 94% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Midstream 4%.

Advantage moatIs it hard to copy?some edge

MPC return on capital ROIC

pretickt analysis47%earned before tax on the money invested in it

Marathon Petroleum earned 47% before tax on the capital invested in it in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; Valero 60%, EOG Resources 34%, Phillips 66 33% and Williams 10%.

MPC margin on each sale gross margin

16%left after making the product

Marathon Petroleum kept 16% of each sale after making the product in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; its peers' median is 36%.

EconomicsDoes it make good money?profitable

MPC margin after costs profit margin

12%of sales left after running the business

Marathon Petroleum's operating margin was 12% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, against 12% in fiscal 2022.

MPC cash generated free cash flow

$20.84Bcash left after investing, last 12 months

Marathon Petroleum generated $20.84B of free cash flow in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, more than its reported profit.

MPC profit per share

+34%in its last fiscal year

Marathon Petroleum's earnings per share grew 34% in fiscal 2025, to $13.36.

ExecutionDoes it deliver what it promises?mixed

MPC earnings vs estimates

4 of 5quarters above the analysts' estimate

Marathon Petroleum beat the analysts' profit estimate in 4 of 5 quarters, the latest on Nov 3, 2026; 3 quarters with one-time gains or charges are left out.

MPC insider selling

-$9.5Msold, net, by its executives in 12 months

Marathon Petroleum's executives and directors sold a net $9.5M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

MPC number of employees

+1%more people in a year

Marathon Petroleum had 18,500 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 1% more than a year before.

MPC CEO pay

$19.02Mfor fiscal 2025, 70% of it in stock and options

Marathon Petroleum paid its CEO $19.02M for fiscal 2025, 70% of it in stock and options.

Fragility risksCould something break it?sturdy

MPC financial health Altman Z-score

4.2Altman Z-score, safe above 3

Marathon Petroleum's Altman Z-score is 4.2 (Nov 13, 2026), above 3, where the safe zone starts.

MPC quality checks Piotroski score

9 of 9checks passed

Marathon Petroleum passes all 9 Piotroski checks in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026.

MPC biggest customers

under 10%of sales from any one customer

No customer made 10% of Marathon Petroleum's sales in fiscal 2025.

MPC shareholders institutional ownership

pretickt analysis
  • Vanguard11.9% ▼
  • BlackRock8.9% ▲
  • State Street6.3% ▼
2,022institutions hold it; the largest sold shares

2,022 institutions hold 75% of Marathon Petroleum's shares (Jun 30, 2026); BlackRock added shares that quarter, Vanguard and State Street sold some.

MPC in past recessions

pretickt analysis-37%its sales in the worst one

Marathon Petroleum's sales fell in each of the last 2 US recessions, by as much as 37% in fiscal 2020.

Price valuationIs the price reasonable?below its usual

MPC price vs profit P/E ratio

8.1×a year's earnings

Marathon Petroleum's P/E ratio is 8.1 (Nov 13, 2026), below its 3-year median of 12.5.

MPC price vs peers

pretickt analysis8.1×a year's earnings, against its peers

Investors pay 8.1 times Marathon Petroleum's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), less than for Williams (27.0), EOG Resources (10.2), Valero (8.5) or Phillips 66 (8.5).

MPC analysts' target price target

0%to their average target

Analysts' average price target for Marathon Petroleum is $416, 0% above the Nov 13, 2026 close of $414.65.

MPC analyst ratings, 90 days

pretickt analysis
  • Jefferiesdowngrade
0 up, 1 downratings raised and cut

In the 90 days to Nov 13, 2026, Jefferies downgraded Marathon Petroleum.

MPC growth priced in fair value

pretickt analysis-11%a year, for ten years, and still worth the price

At $414.65 a share, Marathon Petroleum's free cash flow could shrink about 11% a year for ten years and still be worth the price (Nov 13, 2026).

What is Marathon Petroleum's P/E ratio?

Marathon Petroleum's P/E ratio is 8.1 (Nov 13, 2026), below its 3-year median of 12.5. Investors pay 8.1 times Marathon Petroleum's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), less than for Williams (27.0), EOG Resources (10.2), Valero (8.5) or Phillips 66 (8.5).

Is Marathon Petroleum profitable?

Marathon Petroleum's operating margin was 12% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, against 12% in fiscal 2022. Marathon Petroleum generated $20.84B of free cash flow in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, more than its reported profit.

Are insiders selling Marathon Petroleum stock?

Marathon Petroleum's executives and directors sold a net $9.5M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

How does Marathon Petroleum make money?

Refining And Marketing brought Marathon Petroleum 94% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Midstream 4%.

Who owns Marathon Petroleum stock?

2,022 institutions hold 75% of Marathon Petroleum's shares (Jun 30, 2026); BlackRock added shares that quarter, Vanguard and State Street sold some.

How many employees does Marathon Petroleum have?

Marathon Petroleum had 18,500 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 1% more than a year before.

Who are Marathon Petroleum's biggest customers?

No customer made 10% of Marathon Petroleum's sales in fiscal 2025.

From the companies' statements (FMP), their filings read by pretickt, the analysts and the insiders, as of Nov 13, 2026. Each card says what a fact means for its question, never what to do with the stock: for information only, not investment advice.