pretickt

Is SW a good stock to buy?

Smurfit Westrock plc · end-of-day data as of Nov 13, 2026

Smurfit Westrock
SW · $22.21B
$42.35-0.9%
Nov 13, 2026 · close
$40$45SepOctNov9:3016:003 months -9.5%Nov 13 · close
▲ 3
  • PT$54.20 +28.0%
  • ConsensusBuy · 16
  • MACD0.09
Neutral
  • Earnings in89d
  • P/E47.6x
  • RSI47
  • Support-1.9%
  • Resistance+2.9%
  • Off 52w high-19.6%
  • Volume0.7x
  • Bollingerlower half
  • News0.00
  • FCF yield+3.8%
  • P/E vs own+3.7%
  • Trendsideways
  • Sector→ -0.7%
  • 52w range$33–$53
  • ATR+3.4%
  • Off ATH-40.8%
  • InsidersNone in 90d
  • MA20×50↑ in ~2d
▼ 2
  • P/E vs sector+133.8%
  • MAs0 of 4

Updates with the 15-min delayed price. Not a forecast or investment advice.

Is Smurfit Westrock a good stock to buy?

Smurfit Westrock is strong on 2 of the 5 questions about the business; weak on execution and fragility. The price is high: 47.6 times its earnings, above its 3-year median of 38.4 (Nov 13, 2026). pretickt does not say whether to buy or sell.

  1. Demand growing
  2. Advantage some edge
  3. Economics profits growing
  4. Execution misses
  5. Fragility fragile
  6. Price expensive
DemandDo people want more of what it sells?growing

SW sales growth revenue growth

+32%a year, for the last 3 years

Smurfit Westrock's sales grew 32% a year for 3 years, to $31.18B in fiscal 2025.

SW analysts' forecast revenue estimates

+3%the sales they expect next fiscal year, on the last

Analysts expect Smurfit Westrock's sales to grow 3% to $32.13B in fiscal 2026 (8 analysts).

SW competitors

pretickt analysis-1%its sales in 12 months, on a year before

Smurfit Westrock's sales fell 1% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; Amcor's grew 37%, Ball's grew 19%, Packaging Corporation of America's grew 12% and Avery Dennison's grew 7%.

SW sales by business revenue by segment

59%of its sales from North America

North America brought Smurfit Westrock 59% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Europe, Middle East and Africa, And Asia-Pacific 34%.

Advantage moatIs it hard to copy?some edge

SW margin on each sale gross margin

17%left after making the product

Smurfit Westrock kept 17% of each sale after making the product in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; its competitors' median is 20%.

EconomicsDoes it make good money?profits growing

SW cash generated free cash flow

$852Mcash left after investing, last 12 months

Smurfit Westrock generated $852M of free cash flow in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, more than its reported profit.

SW profit per share

+11%in its last fiscal year

Smurfit Westrock's earnings per share grew 11% in fiscal 2025, to $1.33.

ExecutionDoes it deliver what it promises?misses

SW earnings vs estimates

1 of 8quarters above the analysts' estimate

Smurfit Westrock beat the analysts' profit estimate in 1 of its last 8 quarters, the latest on Oct 28, 2026.

SW insider selling

-$3.36Msold, net, by its executives in 12 months

Smurfit Westrock's executives and directors sold a net $3.36M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

SW number of employees

-3%fewer people in a year

Smurfit Westrock had 97,000 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 3% fewer than a year before.

SW CEO pay

$16.43Mfor fiscal 2025, 71% of it in stock and options

Smurfit Westrock paid its CEO $16.43M for fiscal 2025, 71% of it in stock and options.

Fragility risksCould something break it?fragile

SW financial health Altman Z-score

1.4Altman Z-score, safe above 3

Smurfit Westrock's Altman Z-score is 1.4 (Nov 13, 2026), below 1.8, the distress zone.

SW quality checks Piotroski score

3 of 9checks passed

Smurfit Westrock passes 3 of the 9 Piotroski checks in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; it misses on return on assets, long-term debt, the current ratio, new shares, gross margin and sales for its assets.

SW biggest customers

under 10%of sales from any one customer

No customer made 10% of Smurfit Westrock's sales in fiscal 2025.

SW in past recessions

pretickt analysis-12%its sales in the worst one

Smurfit Westrock's sales fell in each of the last 2 US recessions, by as much as 12% in fiscal 2009.

Price valuationIs the price reasonable?expensive

SW price vs profit P/E ratio

47.6×a year's earnings

Smurfit Westrock's P/E ratio is 47.6 (Nov 13, 2026), above its 3-year median of 38.4.

SW price vs competitors

pretickt analysis47.6×a year's earnings, against its competitors

Investors pay 47.6 times Smurfit Westrock's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), more than for Ball (33.2), Packaging Corporation of America (30.9), Avery Dennison (20.3) or Amcor (18.8).

SW analysts' target price target

+28%to their average target

Analysts' average price target for Smurfit Westrock is $54.20, 28% above the Nov 13, 2026 close of $42.35.

SW growth priced in fair value

pretickt analysis+10%a year, for ten years, to be worth the price

At $42.35 a share, Smurfit Westrock's free cash flow must grow about 10% a year for ten years to be worth the price (Nov 13, 2026).

What is Smurfit Westrock's P/E ratio?

Smurfit Westrock's P/E ratio is 47.6 (Nov 13, 2026), above its 3-year median of 38.4. Investors pay 47.6 times Smurfit Westrock's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), more than for Ball (33.2), Packaging Corporation of America (30.9), Avery Dennison (20.3) or Amcor (18.8).

Who are Smurfit Westrock's biggest competitors?

pretickt compares Smurfit Westrock with Packaging Corporation of America, Amcor, Ball and Avery Dennison. Smurfit Westrock's sales fell 1% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; Amcor's grew 37%, Ball's grew 19%, Packaging Corporation of America's grew 12% and Avery Dennison's grew 7%.

Are insiders selling Smurfit Westrock stock?

Smurfit Westrock's executives and directors sold a net $3.36M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

How does Smurfit Westrock make money?

North America brought Smurfit Westrock 59% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Europe, Middle East and Africa, And Asia-Pacific 34%.

How many employees does Smurfit Westrock have?

Smurfit Westrock had 97,000 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 3% fewer than a year before.

Who are Smurfit Westrock's biggest customers?

No customer made 10% of Smurfit Westrock's sales in fiscal 2025.

From the companies' statements (FMP), their filings read by pretickt, the analysts and the insiders, as of Nov 13, 2026. Each card says what a fact means for its question, never what to do with the stock: for information only, not investment advice.