pretickt

Is UPS a good stock to buy?

United Parcel Service, Inc. · end-of-day data as of Nov 13, 2026

UPS
$95.76B
$112.40+1.8%
Nov 13, 2026 · close
$100$110SepOctNov9:3016:003 months +10.3%Nov 13 · close
▲ 6
  • P/E vs sector-21.0%
  • FCF yield+6.7%
  • Trendbullish
  • MAs4 of 4
  • MA20×50Golden 9d ago
  • MACD0.26
Neutral
  • Earnings in74d
  • P/E21.6x
  • RSI65
  • Support-1.3%
  • Resistance+2.5%
  • Off 52w high-8.2%
  • Volume1.4x
  • Bollingerupper half
  • News1.00
  • ConsensusHold · 29
  • PT$115.37 +2.6%
  • 52w range$91–$122
  • ATR+2.3%
  • Off ATH-51.9%
▼ 3
  • P/E vs own+25.3%
  • Insiders-$877K
  • Sector▼ -11.7%

Updates with the 15-min delayed price. Not a forecast or investment advice.

Is UPS a good stock to buy?

UPS is strong on 1 of the 5 questions about the business; weak on demand. The price is high: 21.6 times its earnings, above its 3-year median of 18.3 (Nov 13, 2026). pretickt does not say whether to buy or sell.

  1. Demand shrinking
  2. Advantage some edge
  3. Economics profitable
  4. Execution delivers
  5. Fragility some risks
  6. Price expensive
DemandDo people want more of what it sells?shrinking

UPS sales growth revenue growth

-4%a year, for the last 3 years

UPS's sales fell 4% a year for 3 years, to $88.66B in fiscal 2025.

UPS analysts' forecast revenue estimates

+4%the sales they expect next fiscal year, on the last

Analysts expect UPS's sales to grow 4% to $92.52B in fiscal 2026 (18 analysts).

UPS competitors

pretickt analysis+2%its sales in 12 months, on a year before

UPS's sales grew 2% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, slower than Expeditors (+19%) and J.B. Hunt (+11%).

Advantage moatIs it hard to copy?some edge

UPS return on capital ROIC

pretickt analysis17%earned before tax on the money invested in it

UPS earned 17% before tax on the capital invested in it in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; Expeditors 73% and J.B. Hunt 20%.

UPS margin on each sale gross margin

18%left after making the product

UPS kept 18% of each sale after making the product in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; its competitors' median is 17%.

EconomicsDoes it make good money?profitable

UPS margin after costs profit margin

7%of sales left after running the business

UPS's operating margin was 7% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, against 13% in fiscal 2022.

UPS cash generated free cash flow

$6.38Bcash left after investing, last 12 months

UPS generated $6.38B of free cash flow in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, more than its reported profit.

UPS profit per share

-3%in its last fiscal year

UPS's earnings per share fell 3% in fiscal 2025, to $6.56.

ExecutionDoes it deliver what it promises?delivers

UPS earnings vs estimates

7 of 8quarters above the analysts' estimate

UPS beat the analysts' profit estimate in 7 of its last 8 quarters, the latest on Oct 27, 2026.

UPS insider selling

-$3.53Msold, net, by its executives in 12 months

UPS's executives and directors sold a net $3.53M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

UPS number of employees

-6%fewer people in a year

UPS had 460,000 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 6% fewer than a year before.

UPS CEO pay

$22.88Mfor fiscal 2025, 83% of it in stock and options

UPS paid its CEO $22.88M for fiscal 2025, 83% of it in stock and options.

Fragility risksCould something break it?some risks

UPS financial health Altman Z-score

2.8Altman Z-score, safe above 3

UPS's Altman Z-score is 2.8 (Nov 13, 2026), between 1.8 and 3, the grey zone.

UPS quality checks Piotroski score

4 of 9checks passed

UPS passes 4 of the 9 Piotroski checks in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; it misses on return on assets, long-term debt, the current ratio, new shares and gross margin.

UPS biggest customers

11%of sales from its biggest customer

Amazon made 11% of UPS's sales in fiscal 2025.

UPS shareholders institutional ownership

pretickt analysis
  • Vanguard7.4% ▲
  • BlackRock6.5% ▲
  • State Street4.0% ▲
2,258institutions hold it; the largest added shares

2,258 institutions hold 66% of UPS's shares (Jun 30, 2026); Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street added shares that quarter.

UPS in past recessions

pretickt analysis-12%its sales in the worst one

UPS's sales fell in 1 of the last 2 US recessions, by as much as 12% in fiscal 2009.

Price valuationIs the price reasonable?expensive

UPS price vs profit P/E ratio

21.6×a year's earnings

UPS's P/E ratio is 21.6 (Nov 13, 2026), above its 3-year median of 18.3.

UPS price vs competitors

pretickt analysis21.6×a year's earnings, against its competitors

Investors pay 21.6 times UPS's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), more than for FedEx (20.1), less than for J.B. Hunt (32.7) and Expeditors (24.7).

UPS analysts' target price target

+3%to their average target

Analysts' average price target for UPS is $115, 3% above the Nov 13, 2026 close of $112.40.

UPS growth priced in fair value

pretickt analysis+3%a year, for ten years, to be worth the price

At $112.40 a share, UPS's free cash flow must grow about 3% a year for ten years to be worth the price (Nov 13, 2026).

What is UPS's P/E ratio?

UPS's P/E ratio is 21.6 (Nov 13, 2026), above its 3-year median of 18.3. Investors pay 21.6 times UPS's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), more than for FedEx (20.1), less than for J.B. Hunt (32.7) and Expeditors (24.7).

Who are UPS's biggest competitors?

pretickt compares UPS with FedEx, Expeditors, J.B. Hunt and FedEx Freight. UPS's sales grew 2% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, slower than Expeditors (+19%) and J.B. Hunt (+11%).

Is UPS profitable?

UPS's operating margin was 7% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, against 13% in fiscal 2022. UPS generated $6.38B of free cash flow in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, more than its reported profit.

Are insiders selling UPS stock?

UPS's executives and directors sold a net $3.53M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

Who owns UPS stock?

2,258 institutions hold 66% of UPS's shares (Jun 30, 2026); Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street added shares that quarter.

How many employees does UPS have?

UPS had 460,000 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 6% fewer than a year before.

Who are UPS's biggest customers?

Amazon made 11% of UPS's sales in fiscal 2025.

From the companies' statements (FMP), their filings read by pretickt, the analysts and the insiders, as of Nov 13, 2026. Each card says what a fact means for its question, never what to do with the stock: for information only, not investment advice.