pretickt

Is VLO a good stock to buy?

Valero Energy Corporation · end-of-day data as of Nov 13, 2026

Valero
VLO · $106B
$379.83+1.3%
Nov 13, 2026 · close
$350$400$450SepOctNov9:3016:003 months +8.5%Nov 13 · close
▲ 5
  • PT$410.27 +8.0%
  • P/E vs own-41.8%
  • P/E vs sector-45.0%
  • FCF yield+14.2%
  • Sector▲ -1.9%
Neutral
  • Earnings in76d
  • P/E8.5x
  • RSI47
  • Support-9.0%
  • Off 52w high-17.7%
  • Volume0.7x
  • Bollingerlower half
  • News1.00
  • ConsensusHold · 20
  • Trendsideways
  • 52w range$160–$462
  • ATR+4.7%
  • Off ATH-17.7%
  • InsidersNone in 90d
  • MAs2 of 4
▼ 2
  • MA20×50Death 2d ago
  • MACD-1.94

Updates with the 15-min delayed price. Not a forecast or investment advice.

Is Valero a good stock to buy?

Valero is strong on 2 of the 5 questions about the business; weak on demand. The price is low: 8.5 times its earnings, below its 3-year median of 13.3 (Nov 13, 2026). pretickt does not say whether to buy or sell.

  1. Demand shrinking
  2. Advantage some edge
  3. Economics profits steady
  4. Execution delivers
  5. Fragility sturdy
  6. Price below its usual
DemandDo people want more of what it sells?shrinking

VLO peers

pretickt analysis+19%its sales in 12 months, on a year before

Valero's sales grew 19% in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, faster than Williams (+9%), slower than Marathon Petroleum (+31%), EOG Resources (+29%) and Phillips 66 (+29%).

VLO sales by business revenue by segment

92%of its sales from Refining

Refining brought Valero 92% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Ethanol 4%.

Advantage moatIs it hard to copy?some edge

VLO return on capital ROIC

pretickt analysis60%earned before tax on the money invested in it

Valero earned 60% before tax on the capital invested in it in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; Marathon Petroleum 47%, EOG Resources 34%, Phillips 66 33% and Williams 10%.

EconomicsDoes it make good money?profits steady

VLO cash generated free cash flow

$15.08Bcash left after investing, last 12 months

Valero generated $15.08B of free cash flow in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026, more than its reported profit.

VLO profit per share

-10%in its last fiscal year

Valero's earnings per share fell 10% in fiscal 2025, to $7.65.

ExecutionDoes it deliver what it promises?delivers

VLO earnings vs estimates

6 of 6quarters above the analysts' estimate

Valero beat the analysts' profit estimate in all 6 quarters, the latest on Oct 22, 2026; 2 quarters with one-time gains or charges are left out.

VLO insider selling

-$9.39Msold, net, by its executives in 12 months

Valero's executives and directors sold a net $9.39M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

VLO number of employees

-1%fewer people in a year

Valero had 9,811 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 1% fewer than a year before.

VLO CEO pay

$23.39Mfor fiscal 2025, 67% of it in stock and options

Valero paid its CEO $23.39M for fiscal 2025, 67% of it in stock and options.

Fragility risksCould something break it?sturdy

VLO financial health Altman Z-score

6.3Altman Z-score, safe above 3

Valero's Altman Z-score is 6.3 (Nov 13, 2026), above 3, where the safe zone starts.

VLO quality checks Piotroski score

9 of 9checks passed

Valero passes all 9 Piotroski checks in the 12 months to Sep 30, 2026.

VLO biggest customers

under 10%of sales from any one customer

No customer made 10% of Valero's sales in fiscal 2025.

VLO shareholders institutional ownership

pretickt analysis
  • Vanguard11.6% ▼
  • BlackRock8.6% ▼
  • State Street6.3% ▼
2,062institutions hold it; the largest sold shares

2,062 institutions hold 85% of Valero's shares (Jun 30, 2026); Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street sold some.

VLO in past recessions

pretickt analysis-43%its sales in the worst one

Valero's sales fell in each of the last 2 US recessions, by as much as 43% in fiscal 2009.

Price valuationIs the price reasonable?below its usual

VLO price vs profit P/E ratio

8.5×a year's earnings

Valero's P/E ratio is 8.5 (Nov 13, 2026), below its 3-year median of 13.3.

VLO price vs peers

pretickt analysis8.5×a year's earnings, against its peers

Investors pay 8.5 times Valero's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), more than for Phillips 66 (8.5) and Marathon Petroleum (8.1), less than for Williams (27.0) and EOG Resources (10.2).

VLO analysts' target price target

+8%to their average target

Analysts' average price target for Valero is $410, 8% above the Nov 13, 2026 close of $379.83.

VLO analyst ratings, 90 days

pretickt analysis
  • Jefferiesdowngrade
  • Freedom Brokerdowngrade
0 up, 2 downratings raised and cut

In the 90 days to Nov 13, 2026, Jefferies and Freedom Broker downgraded Valero.

VLO growth priced in fair value

pretickt analysis-8%a year, for ten years, and still worth the price

At $379.83 a share, Valero's free cash flow could shrink about 8% a year for ten years and still be worth the price (Nov 13, 2026).

What is Valero's P/E ratio?

Valero's P/E ratio is 8.5 (Nov 13, 2026), below its 3-year median of 13.3. Investors pay 8.5 times Valero's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), more than for Phillips 66 (8.5) and Marathon Petroleum (8.1), less than for Williams (27.0) and EOG Resources (10.2).

Are insiders selling Valero stock?

Valero's executives and directors sold a net $9.39M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

How does Valero make money?

Refining brought Valero 92% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Ethanol 4%.

Who owns Valero stock?

2,062 institutions hold 85% of Valero's shares (Jun 30, 2026); Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street sold some.

How many employees does Valero have?

Valero had 9,811 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 1% fewer than a year before.

Who are Valero's biggest customers?

No customer made 10% of Valero's sales in fiscal 2025.

From the companies' statements (FMP), their filings read by pretickt, the analysts and the insiders, as of Nov 13, 2026. Each card says what a fact means for its question, never what to do with the stock: for information only, not investment advice.