pretickt

Is CCL a good stock to buy?

Carnival Corporation & plc · end-of-day data as of Nov 13, 2026

Carnival
CCL · $39.3B
$29.23-0.4%
Nov 13, 2026 · close
$25$30SepOctNov9:3016:003 months +7.7%Nov 13 · close
▲ 5
  • PT$33.60 +15.0%
  • ConsensusBuy · 31
  • P/E vs sector-37.3%
  • FCF yield+8.1%
  • MAs4 of 4
Neutral
  • Earnings in35d
  • P/E12.8x
  • RSI56
  • Support-0.5%
  • Resistance+3.4%
  • Off 52w high-14.1%
  • Volume0.6x
  • Bollingerupper half
  • News
  • P/E vs own+2.2%
  • Sector→ -0.7%
  • 52w range$21–$34
  • ATR+3.7%
  • Off ATH-59.8%
▼ 3
  • Insiders-$1.53M
  • Trendbearish
  • MACD-0.06

Updates with the 15-min delayed price. Not a forecast or investment advice.

Is Carnival a good stock to buy?

Carnival is strong on 2 of the 5 questions about the business; weak on advantage and fragility. The price is about usual: 12.8 times its earnings, near its 3-year median of 14.7 (Nov 13, 2026). pretickt does not say whether to buy or sell.

  1. Demand growing
  2. Advantage easy to copy
  3. Economics profitable
  4. Execution delivers
  5. Fragility fragile
  6. Price about usual
DemandDo people want more of what it sells?growing

CCL sales growth revenue growth

+30%a year, for the last 3 years

Carnival's sales grew 30% a year for 3 years, to $26.62B in fiscal 2025.

CCL analysts' forecast revenue estimates

+4%the sales they expect next fiscal year, on the last

Analysts expect Carnival's sales to grow 4% to $27.72B in fiscal 2026 (19 analysts).

CCL competitors

pretickt analysis+5%its sales in 12 months, on a year before

Carnival's sales grew 5% in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026, slower than Airbnb (+17%), Expedia (+13%), Royal Caribbean (+10%) and Booking Holdings (+8%).

CCL sales by business revenue by segment

65%of its sales from Tour And Other

Tour And Other brought Carnival 65% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Cruise 35%.

Advantage moatIs it hard to copy?easy to copy

CCL return on capital ROIC

pretickt analysis12%earned before tax on the money invested in it

Carnival earned 12% before tax on the capital invested in it in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026; Airbnb 155%, Expedia 137% and Royal Caribbean 15%.

CCL margin on each sale gross margin

34%left after making the product

Carnival kept 34% of each sale after making the product in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026; its competitors' median is 73%.

EconomicsDoes it make good money?profitable

CCL margin after costs profit margin

16%of sales left after running the business

Carnival's operating margin was 16% in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026, against -36% in fiscal 2022.

CCL cash generated free cash flow

$3.18Bcash left after investing, last 12 months

Carnival generated $3.18B of free cash flow in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026, about as much as its reported profit.

CCL profit per share

+50%in its last fiscal year

Carnival's earnings per share grew 50% in fiscal 2025, to $2.00.

ExecutionDoes it deliver what it promises?delivers

CCL earnings vs estimates

6 of 6quarters above the analysts' estimate

Carnival beat the analysts' profit estimate in all 6 quarters, the latest on Sep 29, 2026; 2 quarters with one-time gains or charges are left out.

CCL insider selling

-$15.07Msold, net, by its executives in 12 months

Carnival's executives and directors sold a net $15.07M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

CCL number of employees

+1%more people in a year

Carnival had 101,000 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 1% more than a year before.

Fragility risksCould something break it?fragile

CCL financial health Altman Z-score

1.4Altman Z-score, safe above 3

Carnival's Altman Z-score is 1.4 (Nov 13, 2026), below 1.8, the distress zone.

CCL quality checks Piotroski score

6 of 9checks passed

Carnival passes 6 of the 9 Piotroski checks in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026; it misses on the current ratio, new shares and gross margin.

CCL biggest customers

under 10%of sales from any one customer

No customer made 10% of Carnival's sales in fiscal 2025.

CCL shareholders institutional ownership

pretickt analysis
  • Vanguard10.5% ▲
  • BlackRock7.0% ▲
  • State Street4.2% ▲
1,074institutions hold it; the largest added shares

1,074 institutions hold 69% of Carnival's shares (Jun 30, 2026); Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street added shares that quarter.

CCL in past recessions

pretickt analysis-73%its sales in the worst one

Carnival's sales fell in each of the last 2 US recessions, by as much as 73% in fiscal 2020.

Price valuationIs the price reasonable?about usual

CCL price vs profit P/E ratio

12.8×a year's earnings

Carnival's P/E ratio is 12.8 (Nov 13, 2026), near its 3-year median of 14.7.

CCL price vs competitors

pretickt analysis12.8×a year's earnings, against its competitors

Investors pay 12.8 times Carnival's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), less than for Airbnb (35.0), Royal Caribbean (19.1), Booking Holdings (17.3) or Expedia (15.1).

CCL analysts' target price target

+15%to their average target

Analysts' average price target for Carnival is $33.60, 15% above the Nov 13, 2026 close of $29.23.

CCL growth priced in fair value

pretickt analysis0%a year, for ten years, to be worth the price

At $29.23 a share, Carnival's free cash flow only has to hold level for ten years to be worth the price (Nov 13, 2026).

What is Carnival's P/E ratio?

Carnival's P/E ratio is 12.8 (Nov 13, 2026), near its 3-year median of 14.7. Investors pay 12.8 times Carnival's earnings (Nov 13, 2026), less than for Airbnb (35.0), Royal Caribbean (19.1), Booking Holdings (17.3) or Expedia (15.1).

Who are Carnival's biggest competitors?

pretickt compares Carnival with Expedia, Royal Caribbean, Airbnb and Booking Holdings. Carnival's sales grew 5% in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026, slower than Airbnb (+17%), Expedia (+13%), Royal Caribbean (+10%) and Booking Holdings (+8%).

Is Carnival profitable?

Carnival's operating margin was 16% in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026, against -36% in fiscal 2022. Carnival generated $3.18B of free cash flow in the 12 months to Aug 31, 2026, about as much as its reported profit.

Are insiders selling Carnival stock?

Carnival's executives and directors sold a net $15.07M of shares in the 12 months to Nov 13, 2026; none bought.

How does Carnival make money?

Tour And Other brought Carnival 65% of its sales in fiscal 2025; Cruise 35%.

Who owns Carnival stock?

1,074 institutions hold 69% of Carnival's shares (Jun 30, 2026); Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street added shares that quarter.

How many employees does Carnival have?

Carnival had 101,000 employees at the end of fiscal 2025, 1% more than a year before.

Who are Carnival's biggest customers?

No customer made 10% of Carnival's sales in fiscal 2025.

From the companies' statements (FMP), their filings read by pretickt, the analysts and the insiders, as of Nov 13, 2026. Each card says what a fact means for its question, never what to do with the stock: for information only, not investment advice.