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The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

Financial Services · end-of-day data as of Oct 16, 2026

The Progressive Corporation
PGR · $127B
$218.49+2.2%last 60 sessions · close Oct 16, 2026
$190.22$234.3752 weeks
Hold · 25 analystsPT $226.63 +3.7%
  • P/E vs own+1.6%
  • P/E vs sector-22.7%
  • Target upside+3.7%
  • Off 52w high-6.8%
  • Insiders-$23.2M
  • FCF yield—
  • Earnings in103d
  • Trendsideways
  • Sector▲ -3.9%
  • RSI55
  • MA20×50—
  • Volume0.8x
  • Support-2.2%
  • Resistance+2.2%

The average 12-month analyst price target for PGR is $226.63, 3.7% above the last close of $218.49 on Oct 16, 2026; targets range from $196.19 to $259.37. Rating consensus: Hold.

Snapshot

  • P/E11.0x
  • P/E vs sector-22.7%
  • P/E vs own+1.6%
  • Target upside+3.7%
  • ConsensusHold
  • Market cap$127B
  • FCF yield—
  • Insiders-$23.2M
  • Earnings in103d
  • News0.00

Why it moved

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) rose 2.2% on Oct 16, 2026.

The market (SPY) fell 1.1%; Financial Services stocks rose 0.3%. Most of the move is specific to PGR.

Market (SPY)-1.1%
Financial Services sector+1.4%
PGR specific+1.9%

0 stories on the day (30-day average 1.0).

Market = SPY. Sector = equal-weight average of the tracked companies in the same sector, net of the market.

Price and events

⇔⇕$193$206$219$232Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AADAEDEDAEAADE

Last close $218.49 · +4.9% over 1y · E earnings · D dividend · S split · A analyst rating change

Technicals

  • Trendsideways
  • Sector▲ -3.9%
  • MAs20▲ 50▲ 100▲ 200▲
  • Above MAs4 of 4 above
  • MA20×50—
  • RSI55
  • Support-2.2%
  • Resistance+2.2%
  • Off 52w high-6.8%
  • Off ATH-20.0%
  • 52w range$218.49
  • Bollingerupper half
  • MACD0.75
  • ATR+2.6%
  • Volume0.8x

Analyst price targets

Low$196.19
Average$226.63
Median$228.78
High$259.37
Upside+3.7%

15 firms with a target in the last 12 months · last close $218.49 · as of Oct 16, 2026

⇔⇕$186$208$230$252$274Oct 25Mar 26Aug 26Jan 27Jun 27+6%+5%0%+2%+0%
— actual price● bullish target● bearish targethover a dot to see the analysts behind it · wheel or drag to move through time · drag the price axis on the right to stretch it · double-click resets

Strong buy 4 · Buy 4 · Hold 16 · Sell 1 · Strong sell 0

Revenue and free cash flow

Q3 FY2026: Revenue +3.0% year over year, operating margin 14.0%.

RevenueFree cash flow
Q4 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025Q4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026Q3 FY2026
Q3 FY2026Sep 30, 2026$23.18B4.37—100.0%14.0%11.0%
Q2 FY2026Jun 30, 2026$23.62B5.67$3.47B25.2%17.8%14.0%
Q1 FY2026Mar 31, 2026$22.18B4.80$4.3B37.7%16.1%12.7%
Q4 FY2025Dec 31, 2025$22.74B5.02$3.05B29.3%16.2%13.0%
Q3 FY2025Sep 30, 2025$22.51B4.45$5.13B15.8%14.8%11.6%
Q2 FY2025Jun 30, 2025$22B5.40$3.94B31.3%18.1%14.4%
Q1 FY2025Mar 31, 2025$20.4B4.37$5.08B30.1%15.9%12.6%
Q4 FY2024Dec 31, 2024$20.27B4.01$2.9B28.8%14.6%11.6%

Peers

20D
1CBChubb Limited$359.79+2.0%-0.7%-1.9%12.7$139B
2PGRThe Progressive Corporation$218.49+2.2%-6.8%+3.7%11.0$127B
3TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.$389.54+1.5%-1.6%-13.3%10.2$81.25B
4ALLThe Allstate Corporation$247.88+3.5%-9.5%+7.3%4.9$62.68B
5WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation$75.42+2.0%-0.8%-5.8%15.5$28B
6CINFCincinnati Financial Corporation$171.25+2.4%-10.3%+12.2%8.1$26.28B
7LLoews Corporation$110.52+1.6%-7.4%—13.6$22.59B
8AIZAssurant, Inc.$283.31+0.5%-5.8%+14.7%13.4$13.97B

Data as of Oct 16, 2026 close.

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